中国经济1分钟丨盛松成：人民币快速升值不可持续

5月31日，银行间外汇市场人民币汇率中间价为：1美元对人民币6.3682元，较上一交易日提升176个基点。

当前人民币过快升值有可能已经出现超调, 中国人民银行调查统计司原司长盛松成表示。

首先，美国经济下半年有望出现全面反弹，美元或随之走强。同时，中美利差从去年的大幅走阔转向收窄，热钱涌入势头或有所收敛。

其次，人民币汇率升值无法抵消大宗商品价格的上涨，不能成为工具。人民币汇率超调是短期投机行为，不可持续。

我国坚持对外开放，鼓励长期资金投资，但要防止短期资金大量流入，推高人民币汇率，削弱出口企业竞争力，扰乱我国金融市场和货币政策的独立施行。

On May 31, the central parity rate of the Chinese currency renminbi, or the yuan, strengthened 176 pips to 6.3682 against the U.S. dollar.

The current rapid appreciation of the Chinese yuan against the U.S. dollar may have overshot, according to Sheng Songcheng, former  director of the surveys and statistics department at the People's Bank of China (PBOC).

As the U.S. economy is expected to rebound in the second half of the year, and the U.S. dollar may strengthen accordingly, while the narrowing interest spread between China and the United States may weaken the momentum of hot money influx.

Meanwhile, the strengthened RMB cannot offset price hikes for bulk commodities, and it cannot be used as a tool, said Sheng, noting that the RMB exchange rate overshoot is only short-term speculation.

China encourages long-term capital investment, but it should prevent a large inflow of short-term capital, which will push up the RMB exchange rate, weaken the competitiveness of export enterprises and disrupt the independent implementation of China's financial market and monetary policy, said Sheng.

剪辑：袁思杰  张颖

配音：袁思杰 

字幕：袁思杰

监制：向秀芳 方晓茸